From the replication crisis to forecasting to prediction markets, the Replication Markets project covers a broad range of intellectual territory. Below you will find articles we recommend to get you started.
“Psychology’s Replication Crisis” from The Atlantic
Psychology’s replication crisis is running out of excuses. Another big project has found that only half of studies can be repeated. And this time, the usual explanations fall flat.
“Prediction Market, Simply Explained” from Hackernoon
Prediction Markets are basically Futures Markets… you place a bet on the probability of a specific event happening in a specific situation, such as elections, sale of companies, price fluctuations or even changes in the climate.
“Predicting Weak Studies in Psychology” from The Atlantic
Online bettors can sniff out weak psychology studies. So why can’t the journals that publish them?
“Superforecasting” from Psychology Today
The gutsy move Psychology needs to make. Can psychologists learn from research on intelligence analysts?
“Evidence of Good Forecasting Practices” from AI Impacts
Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgement Project.
“DARPA Aims to Score Social and Behavioral Research” from Social Science Space
Outside observers have identified a wider collateral benefit to the academy from the proposal – a tool to address the so-called replication crisis in social science.
“DARPA Wants to Solve Science’s Replication Crisis with AI” from Wired
Vast swaths of the social sciences … don’t replicate—which is to say, if someone else does the same experiment, they get different (often contradictory) results. The scientific term for that is bad.
