Announcing Round 3 Survey Winners!

The results are in!

Replication Markets Round 3 finished on November 24, and since then we have been analyzing the results to determine the most accurate forecasters for the Surveys. We have 42 winners!

Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to ground truth, we award prizes each Round to forecasters who are closest to the truth as determined by a peer prediction method. Our calculation methods are pre-registered with the Center for Open Science and will be made public at the end of the study.

The top 4 forecasters of each batch are awarded $80, $40, $20, and $20, respectively. Round 3 Surveys featured 30 batches of 10 surveys each. You will notice that quite a few of our winners earned more than $80. This happens when a forecaster is ranked in the top 4 in more than one batch.

Round 3 Winners will be notified by email at the email address registered with the username on the RM platform. Prizes must be claimed by January 6, 2020. 

lots of US bills of varying denominations
unipedal$1,160
Frantisek$580
prorgan$300
sattuma$240
yetAnotherTrader$220
BradleyJBaker$220
AchinToBe$200
sflicht$200
Ilei$180
mjad88$160
EirikStroemland$100
cgravert$100
stanlaurel$100
scocciolo$100
bjaeger$80
Lenkafiala$80
GKarreskog$80
nathan98000$60
agural$60
andrewsmith$40
Econ101$40
JonS$40
hugopedder$40
xoph09$40
Nokta$40
bgfarrar$20
Nick$20
Pavol$20
chrizzel$20
Taku$20
meaning.mosaic.curtain$20
zultan$20
kieranmepham$20
catrachohansen$20
vtevelde$20
felixbunny$20
benthamite$20
pbog$20
WFlyte$20
ekarpinski$20
evn$20
mzhu14$20

One thought on “Announcing Round 3 Survey Winners!”

Contribute to the discussion...

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Want to receive updates about Replication Markets? Share your contact information below.

We’re sorry to see you go! Please visit our social media sites.

This site uses cookies to provide you with a better browsing experience.

Visit our Privacy Policy for more information.