Announcing Round 7 Survey Winners

Replication Markets Round 7 finished May 25. Now that the Markets have closed, we can announce the most accurate forecasters for the Surveys. We have 26 winners!

Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to ground truth, we award prizes each Round to forecasters who are closest to the truth as determined by a peer prediction method. Our calculation methods are pre-registered with the Center for Open Science and will be made public at the end of the study.

The top 4 forecasters of each batch are awarded $80, $40, $20, and $20, respectively. Round 7 Surveys featured 33 batches of 10 surveys each. You will notice that quite a few of our winners earned more than $80. This happens when a forecaster is ranked in the top 4 in more than one batch.

Round 7 Winners will be notified by email at the email address registered with the username on the RM platformPrizes must be claimed by June 26, 2020.

lots of US bills of varying denominations
rm_user$900
braoi$840
unipedal$800
Frantisek$520
Ilei$380
bjaeger$240
BBalmford$220
Pavol$200
Nokta$200
CPM$160
sgo72$140
stanlaurel$100
jc20$80
anshul96go$80
fcasoria$80
philip_p$60
AchinToBe$40
sattuma$40
levent$40
Bono$40
relihan$20
Luthor113$20
Lenkafiala$20
bmandl$20
antipodeanlurker$20
prorgan$20

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