Announcing Round 9 Survey winners

Replication Markets Round 9 finished July 20. The research team analyzed the data and is happy to announce 23 winners.

Because the markets will take nearly a year to pay out according to ground truth, we award prizes each Round to forecasters who are closest to the truth as determined by a peer prediction method. Our calculation methods are pre-registered with the Center for Open Science and will be made public at the end of the study.

The top 4 forecasters of each batch are awarded $80, $40, $20, and $20, respectively. Round 9 Surveys featured 33 batches of 10 surveys each. You will notice that quite a few of our winners earned more than $80. This happens when a forecaster is ranked in the top 4 in more than one batch.

Round 9 Winners will be notified by email at the email address registered with the username on the RM platformPrizes must be claimed by August 21, 2020.

lots of US bills of varying denominations
rm_user$1,100
Botilicious$680
braoi$660
CPM$440
unipedal$440
Pavol$220
relihan$200
Frantisek$200
Nokta$200
Hmassz$160
Poison$140
AchinToBe$140
jc20$120
stanlaurel$100
educatedguess$80
mVranka$80
yetAnotherTrader$80
sattuma$80
Ilei$60
Scalene1234$40
DMS$20
philip_p$20
DavidRhysBernard$20

 

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