The Basics RM will present 100 claims featuring the topic of COVID-19 from the following social and behavioral sciences: Economics Epidemiology Political Science Psychology Public Administration Sociology These claims were selected by the Center for Open Science using three preprint services: medRxiv, the preprint server for health sciences PsyArXiv, a preprint service for psychological sciences…
The Royal Society Open Science online journal published “Are replication rates the same across academic fields? Community forecasts from the DARPA SCORE programme” the first paper to discuss results from the DARPA SCORE project. Dr. Charles Twardy, principal investigator, said, “This paper presents our “Round 0” forecasts showing participants’ overall expectations field and year, before…
Courtesy post for other researchers. (Some of them are on RM, but this is not an RM project.) This is a crowd-sourced initiative to replicate original unpublished studies in independent laboratories. You can read the Pipeline Project 1 paper published in the Journal of Experimental Social Psychology here. For the Pipeline Project 2, different research…
To spur activity in Round 8 Markets, every forecaster has been awarded up to 250 bonus points. Don’t spend them all in one place! Statistically, you’re much more likely to make profits (and help our accuracy) if you spread your investment over many claims. Markets are open through June 22, 06:00 UTC (2am on Monday…
Forecasters came in strongly on the first day of the Market as 1,091 trades were made on 330 behavioral and social claims for Round 7! Trading continued at a steady pace, falling slightly the second day, and coming back strongly on the third. We anticipate robust activity from our forecasters during these two weeks! All forecasters received…
