Replication Markets Blog

New to Replication Markets? Start your visit to our blog with our Welcome post.

Will COVID-19 Studies Replicate?

Replication Markets recently estimated replication probabilities for 100 COVID-19 studies from the social and behavioral sciences. We don’t have all the results yet, but let’s

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Surrogate Scoring Rules

Surrogate scoring rules (SSR) is the method we used to score forecasters for accuracy in our survey. We encourage all forecasters to watch our short

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What a Year at Replication Markets!

Dear Forecasters: Wow!  What a year it’s been! Did you know you completed 54,000 surveys and 42,000 trades on 3,000 studies?  Plus the current COVID-19 Round 11? That’s stunning. Replication

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