Evidence from the first four rounds tl;dr: In our monthly surveys, high participation does not necessarily lead to high prizes – some highly active forecasters
One more week of Round 4 Markets! Round 4 Markets are open until December 22, 23:59 UTC. This round’s claims come from 20 journals …
The results are in! Replication Markets Round 3 finished on November 24, and since then we have been analyzing the results to determine the most
Welcome to Round 4 Markets! In this round of Markets, we continue to examine the claims from the 20 journals of the Survey round. For
Welcome to Round 4! Prediction surveys and prediction markets have different advantages. We open each round with surveys to get your baseline opinion before interaction
One more week of Round 3 Markets! Round 3 Markets are open until November 24, 23:59 UTC. This round’s claims come from 18 journals …
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